Guerin Catholic
Boys - Girls
2014 - 2015 - 2016
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State Rank #24
Carmel Semi-State Rank #9
Noblesville Regional Rank #7
Noblesville Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.3%
Advance to State Finals 11.1%
Advance to Semi-State 18.3%
Advance to Regional 45.9%

RankNameGradeRating
75  Megan Slamkowski 11 19:30
115  Paige Schemanske 9 19:50
219  Ellie Schroeder 9 20:22
232  Mia Driscoll 12 20:24
311  Isabel Bucklew 11 20:45
398  Lucia Perez 10 21:03
724  Maren Fitschen 10 21:57
Kate Anderson 11 22:26
Madeline Youngman 11 22:27
Amanda Schafer 10 23:18
DateRace Rating
08/22 Harvey Invitational 371
09/01 Hamilton County 320
09/05 Marion Invitational 294
09/12 Indiana All Catholic Championships 384
09/19 Flashrock Invitational 493
09/26 Culver Invitational 410
10/10 Noblesville Sectional 344
10/17 Noblesville Regional 320
10/24 Carmel Semi-State




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 11.1% 17.2 398 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1
Semi-State 18.3% 6.2 182 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.5 7.5 6.7 0.6 0.0
Regionals 45.9% 5.5 131 0.1 1.0 3.4 13.9 26.0 1.5
Sectionals 100% 5.3 119 0.9 3.6 14.7 26.7 54.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Megan Slamkowski 58.4% 66.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 53.2% 57.1%
Paige Schemanske 18.9% 87.1 0.0 0.0 8.8% 12.0%
Ellie Schroeder 11.1% 132.1 0.0% 0.1%
Mia Driscoll 11.1% 135.1 0.0% 0.0%
Isabel Bucklew 11.1% 164.3 0.0% 0.0%
Lucia Perez 11.1% 183.6 0.0% 0.0%
Maren Fitschen 11.1% 203.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Megan Slamkowski 100% 25.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.7 2.0 2.3 3.0 3.4 3.8 4.3 4.2 4.5 4.8 4.9 4.7 100.0% 100.0%
Paige Schemanske 99.0% 36.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.6 1.8 98.8% 99.0%
Ellie Schroeder 56.3% 58.7 0.0 0.0 46.5% 53.8%
Mia Driscoll 49.9% 60.2 38.7% 46.2%
Isabel Bucklew 20.6% 74.7 2.8% 6.3%
Lucia Perez 18.4% 90.7 0.1% 0.5%
Maren Fitschen 18.3% 130.0 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Megan Slamkowski 100% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 2.4 3.6 4.6 5.9 6.7 7.2 7.2 7.9 8.1 7.7 7.3 6.0 5.9 5.1 4.0 2.9 2.0 1.4 100.0% 100.0%
Paige Schemanske 100% 21.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.9 2.7 3.3 4.6 5.4 6.3 6.6 7.6 8.3 8.5 7.6 7.5 100.0% 100.0%
Ellie Schroeder 100% 34.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.7 1.9 100.0% 100.0%
Mia Driscoll 100% 36.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.8 100.0% 100.0%
Isabel Bucklew 100% 47.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Lucia Perez 100% 55.5 100.0% 100.0%
Maren Fitschen 100% 77.1 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Megan Slamkowski 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.5 5.4 7.0 8.6 8.8 9.4 9.6 9.1 8.7 7.8 6.2 5.5 4.2 2.9 1.6 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1
Paige Schemanske 17.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.3 1.6 2.6 3.5 4.5 5.9 7.1 9.1 9.8 11.0 10.6 8.5 7.6 5.1 3.4 2.5 1.7
Ellie Schroeder 26.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.8 2.9 4.5 5.7 6.6 7.7 7.6
Mia Driscoll 27.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.2 2.5 3.5 4.7 6.0 6.5 7.1
Isabel Bucklew 34.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0
Lucia Perez 38.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Maren Fitschen 42.8